We hope you enjoy reading this blog post. Not sure if you should bulk or cut first? Take the quiz
By Mofilo Team
Published
The reason why your calorie tracking app seems wrong even when you weigh your food is a cumulative error of 20-30% from four hidden sources: database inaccuracies, raw vs. cooked weight changes, unlogged oils and sauces, and an overestimated activity level. You're not crazy, and your body isn't broken. The system you're using has invisible flaws.
You're doing everything you're supposed to. You bought the food scale. You log every gram of chicken and rice. The app confidently predicts a one-pound loss for the week, but the scale hasn't budged. It's incredibly frustrating and feels like you're being lied to.
The problem isn't your effort; it's the hidden variables. First, government regulations allow nutrition labels to have a 20% margin of error. A 200-calorie snack could legally be 240 calories, and nobody has to tell you.
Second, the barcode you scan in your app often pulls from a user-submitted database. That entry for "Chicken Breast" could be from someone who logged it incorrectly years ago, and now thousands of people are using that flawed data. It's a game of telephone, and your calorie count is the victim.
Third, you're likely underestimating the small things. That "splash" of olive oil to grease the pan? That's 120 calories. The creamer in your coffee? 50 calories. These aren't rounding errors; they can add up to 300-400 calories a day, completely erasing your deficit.
Finally, and most importantly, the "calories out" side of the equation your app gives you is often a wild guess. It doesn't know your true metabolic rate or how much you actually move. It's using a generic formula that can be hundreds of calories off.
When you combine a 20% label error with a few unlogged tablespoons of oil and a faulty activity estimate, your carefully planned 500-calorie deficit disappears. You're not failing; the tool is failing you. But you can fix it.

Track your food and weight. See the real numbers that drive results.
The single biggest reason your results don't match your app's forecast is the "Calories Out" calculation. Your app doesn't know your true Total Daily Energy Expenditure (TDEE). It's guessing, and it's almost always guessing too high.
Here’s how it works: the app calculates your Basal Metabolic Rate (BMR) using a standard formula like the Mifflin-St Jeor equation. Then, it asks you to pick an "activity multiplier"-Sedentary, Lightly Active, Active, etc. This is where everything breaks.
Most people with desk jobs who work out 3-5 times a week choose "Lightly Active" or "Active." This is a huge mistake. An hour in the gym does not undo 10 hours of sitting. For calorie math, you are what you do the other 23 hours of the day. For most office workers, that's "Sedentary."
Let's look at the math for a 180-pound, 35-year-old male. His estimated BMR is about 1,800 calories.
That's a difference of 315 calories per day. If he was aiming for a 500-calorie deficit to lose one pound a week, his actual deficit is only 185 calories. That's the difference between losing a pound a week and losing a pound a month. It's why you feel like you're spinning your wheels.
Fitness trackers and smartwatches are even worse. They notoriously overestimate calorie burn during exercise, sometimes by as much as 50-90%. Never "eat back" the calories your watch tells you that you burned. It's phantom data that will sabotage your progress.
You now see the biggest flaw isn't in your food logging-it's in the app's guess about your body. You can weigh your chicken to the gram, but if your calorie target is wrong by 300 calories from the start, you're set up to fail. You have the 'Calories In' data. But do you have the real, week-over-week data to prove what your 'Calories Out' *actually* is?

See your calorie intake and weight trend on one screen. Know what's working.
Stop trusting the app's defaults and take control of the numbers. This four-step audit will expose the hidden errors and give you a reliable system for tracking that actually works. Do this for two weeks, and you'll have more clarity than you've had in the last two years.
This is the most common technical mistake people make even with a food scale. Food changes weight when you cook it, primarily due to water loss. For example, meat and poultry lose about 25% of their weight.
Here's the rule: Weigh it in the state you log it.
An example: 112g (4oz) of raw chicken breast is about 130 calories. After cooking, it might only weigh 85g (3oz), but it's still 130 calories. If you weigh your cooked chicken (85g) but log it using a "raw" entry, the app will only count ~98 calories. You've just created a 32-calorie error on a single piece of chicken. Over a day, this adds up fast. For consistency, most people find it easier to weigh everything raw before cooking.
Barcode scanners are convenient, but they are not gospel. Many entries in apps like MyFitnessPal are user-submitted and full of errors. From now on, you are the quality control manager.
Scan the barcode, but before you log it, compare the calories, protein, carbs, and fat in the app to the physical nutrition label on the package. If the numbers don't match, the label is right and the app is wrong. Find a different entry (look for one with a green checkmark, which means it's been verified) or create your own private, correct entry. This 30-second check prevents you from logging someone else's mistake.
Your deficit is being stolen by calories you don't even register as food. These are oils, sauces, dressings, and creamers. A "glug" of olive oil is not a serving; it's 2-3 servings. That's 240-360 calories you didn't account for.
For the next two weeks, you must weigh and log *everything* that goes in your mouth. This includes:
This isn't about being obsessive forever. It's about a short diagnostic period to show you where your calories are really going. You will be shocked at how quickly these additions add up to 300, 400, or even 500 calories.
This is the final and most critical step. You're going to ignore the app's TDEE estimate and find your own, based on real-world data.
Now you have a TDEE based on your actual body, not a generic formula. This number is the key. From here, you can set an accurate 300-500 calorie deficit and get the predictable results you've been working for.
Switching from casual tracking to this audited method feels different. It's important to know what to expect so you don't quit before you get the data you need. The goal of the first two weeks is not weight loss; it's to establish a truthful baseline.
Week 1: The Annoying Phase
This week will feel tedious. You'll be weighing everything, double-checking labels, and questioning your old habits. It will probably take you twice as long to log your meals. This is normal. Your weight on the scale will be all over the place. A salty meal can make you "gain" 3 pounds overnight. A low-carb day can make you "lose" 3 pounds. Ignore these daily fluctuations. Your only job is to hit your calorie target and record your daily weight. That's it.
Week 2: The Data Collection Phase
By now, the process of weighing and logging accurately is becoming a habit. It's faster. You're still ignoring the daily scale noise and focusing on hitting your calorie number. At the end of this week, you'll have 14 days of accurate calorie intake data and 14 daily weigh-ins. Now you can perform the TDEE calculation from Step 4 and find your real number. This is the moment of clarity.
Month 1 and Beyond: The Predictable Progress Phase
Now you have your proven TDEE. You subtract 300-500 calories from it to create your real deficit. This is your new daily target. As you hit this target, you will start to see predictable results. The daily scale weight will still jump around, but your weekly average will trend downwards by 0.5 to 1.5 pounds per week. You're no longer guessing and hoping. You're operating on a system you built and verified yourself. When progress stalls for 2-3 weeks, you don't panic; you simply run another 2-week test to find your new, lower TDEE and adjust your intake accordingly.
Food manufacturers are allowed a 20% margin of error on their nutrition labels. This means a product listed as 100 calories could be anywhere from 80 to 120 calories. This error is usually small on its own but contributes to the cumulative error when combined with other tracking mistakes.
When logging food in your app, prioritize entries with a green checkmark or "verified" symbol. These have been checked by the app's staff for accuracy. If none exist, choose the entry that most closely matches the nutrition label on your physical product. Avoid generic, user-submitted entries.
Do not "eat back" the calories your fitness tracker says you burned. These devices are notoriously inaccurate, often overestimating calorie expenditure by 27-93%. This is a primary cause of stalled weight loss. Set your activity level to "Sedentary" and let your deficit do the work.
When you can't weigh your food, estimation is your only tool. Look up the meal at a large chain restaurant (like Chili's or The Cheesecake Factory) that provides nutrition info. Find the closest equivalent to what you're eating and log that. As a rule of thumb, add 20% to the listed calories to account for extra oil and butter used in restaurant cooking.
Your body weight can fluctuate by 2-5 pounds daily due to changes in water retention from salt intake, carbohydrate levels, stress, and hydration. This is why daily weigh-ins are misleading. Always use a weekly average (sum of 7 days of weight, divided by 7) to assess your true progress.
All content and media on Mofilo is created and published for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis, or treatment. Always seek the advice of your physician or other qualified health provider with any questions you may have regarding a medical condition, including but not limited to eating disorders, nutritional deficiencies, injuries, or any other health concerns. If you think you may have a medical emergency or are experiencing symptoms of any health condition, call your doctor or emergency services immediately.