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By Mofilo Team
Published
Deciding between a low-carb diet and a simple calorie deficit can feel like the most important choice for fat loss. The internet is full of success stories from both camps, leaving you stuck. Let's end the confusion right now.
When you're asking yourself, 'should I do low carb or just calorie deficit,' the answer is simple: a calorie deficit is the only thing that causes fat loss. A low-carb diet is just one of many ways to achieve that deficit. Think of it like this: a calorie deficit is the destination. A low-carb diet is one possible vehicle, like a train. But you could also take a car (a balanced diet) or a plane (a high-carb, low-fat diet). As long as you arrive at the destination, the vehicle doesn't matter.
Your body runs on energy, which we measure in calories. If you provide it with fewer calories than it burns, it's forced to find that missing energy elsewhere. It gets this energy by breaking down stored body fat. This is a non-negotiable law of thermodynamics. It doesn't matter if those calories come from carbs, fats, or protein.
One pound of body fat contains roughly 3,500 calories of stored energy. If you create a 500-calorie deficit each day, you will accumulate a 3,500-calorie deficit over a week (500 calories x 7 days). This results in approximately one pound of fat loss per week. This is the simple math that governs weight loss. No diet, pill, or workout can bypass this fundamental rule.
So, when someone loses weight on a low-carb diet, it's not because carbs were magically preventing fat loss. It's because by cutting out carbs like bread, pasta, rice, and sugary snacks, they automatically cut out a huge number of calories and created a deficit without even realizing it.

Track your calories and macros. Know you're in a deficit every single day.
If a calorie deficit is all that matters, why is the low-carb approach so popular? Because it has some distinct advantages that can make sticking to a deficit easier for some people. But it also has significant downsides.
The biggest benefit is appetite control. High-protein and high-fat foods, which replace carbs in a low-carb diet, are very satiating. You feel fuller for longer, which can make it easier to eat fewer calories overall. By eliminating entire food groups, you also simplify your choices, which can reduce decision fatigue.
Another perceived benefit is rapid initial weight loss. Someone starting a ketogenic diet might lose 5-10 pounds in the first week. This feels incredibly motivating, but it's crucial to understand this is not fat. It's water. Your body stores carbohydrates as glycogen in your muscles and liver, and each gram of glycogen holds onto 3-4 grams of water. When you deplete your carb stores, all that water gets flushed out. It's a temporary effect that makes the scale look good, but it's not real fat loss.
The most significant drawback for anyone who lifts weights is potential performance loss. Carbohydrates are your body's preferred, high-octane fuel source for intense exercise like sprinting or heavy lifting. When you restrict them, your workouts can feel significantly harder, and your strength may stall or even decrease. For someone trying to preserve muscle in a deficit, this is a major problem.
Low-carb diets can also be socially restrictive. It's difficult to eat at restaurants, family gatherings, or with friends without being 'that person' with complicated dietary needs. This lack of flexibility is why many people find low-carb diets unsustainable long-term. They stick with it for 30 or 60 days, lose some weight, then return to normal eating and gain it all back because they never learned how to manage calories in a balanced way.
Finally, the initial adaptation phase, often called the 'keto flu,' can make you feel terrible for a week or two, with symptoms like headaches, fatigue, and irritability.
The Verdict: A low-carb diet is a tool, not a rule. It works by helping you eat fewer calories. If you enjoy eating that way and it doesn't hurt your gym performance, it's a valid option. But it is absolutely not necessary for fat loss.
Forget about demonizing food groups. Let's build a sustainable plan based on numbers. This approach gives you the flexibility to eat the foods you enjoy while guaranteeing results.
Your maintenance is the number of calories you need to eat daily to keep your weight the same. A simple and effective estimate is to multiply your current bodyweight in pounds by 14-16. Use 14 if you're sedentary, 15 if you're moderately active (3-4 workouts a week), and 16 if you're very active.
For sustainable fat loss that preserves muscle, subtract 300 to 500 calories from your maintenance number. A larger deficit can lead to muscle loss and metabolic slowdown.
This is the most important step for ensuring you lose fat, not muscle. Protein protects your lean mass in a deficit. Aim for 0.8 to 1.0 grams of protein per pound of your *goal* bodyweight. Using goal weight prevents over-calculating protein for those with a lot of weight to lose.
This is where you get freedom. After accounting for protein, you can fill the rest of your calories with carbs and fats however you prefer. This is what makes the diet sustainable.
Here are two ways you could set it up:
Both approaches will produce the exact same amount of fat loss because the total calories (2,500) and protein (180g) are the same. The choice is yours.

No more wondering what to eat. See exactly what's working and watch the results happen.
Understanding what to expect week-to-week is key to not quitting. The scale is a liar, and progress is never a straight line down.
Week 1: The Initial Drop
If you choose a lower-carb approach, you'll see that big 'whoosh' of 3-7 pounds as your body sheds water weight. If you choose a balanced approach, you'll see a more modest 1-2 pound drop. Neither is better; they are just different physiological responses. Do not get discouraged if you don't see a huge drop with a balanced diet. You are losing fat, not just water.
Weeks 2-8: The Grind
This is where real, steady fat loss occurs. You should aim to lose between 0.5% and 1% of your total body weight per week. For a 200-pound person, that's a healthy and sustainable rate of 1-2 pounds per week. Some weeks you might lose 2 pounds, some weeks you might lose 0.5 pounds, and some weeks the scale might not move at all. This is normal. Daily fluctuations in water retention from salt intake, stress, and sleep can mask fat loss. Trust the process and focus on your weekly average weight, not the daily number.
Beyond 8 Weeks: The Plateau
At some point, your weight loss will stall. This is inevitable. As you get lighter, your maintenance calories decrease. The 200-pound person who now weighs 185 pounds burns fewer calories at rest. When you hit a plateau for 2-3 weeks, you have two choices: slightly reduce your daily calories by another 100-150, or slightly increase your daily activity (like adding 2,000 steps per day). Make one small adjustment and continue.
Throughout this process, prioritize maintaining your strength in the gym. If your lifts are staying the same or only dropping slightly, you can be confident that you are primarily losing fat and not valuable muscle tissue.
No. Eating too many calories makes you fat. Carbohydrates are a source of energy. If you eat more energy (from any source) than you burn, your body stores the excess as fat. A single carb has no more power to make you fat than a single gram of protein.
No. You cannot choose where your body loses fat from. This is called 'spot reduction,' and it's a myth. Your genetics determine the order in which your body stores and burns fat. A calorie deficit will reduce your overall body fat, which will eventually include your belly.
There is no magic number. After setting your calorie and protein targets, fill the remaining calories with a combination of carbs and fats that you find most satisfying and sustainable. For most people who are active, a good starting point is at least 100-150 grams per day to fuel performance.
This is called a plateau and it's a normal part of the process. As you lose weight, your body's daily energy requirement (your metabolism) decreases. To continue losing weight, you must readjust your deficit by either eating 100-200 fewer calories or increasing your physical activity.
Tracking calories is far superior. 'Clean' foods like avocados, nuts, and olive oil are healthy but incredibly calorie-dense. You can easily eat over your maintenance calories and gain weight while only eating 'clean' foods. Tracking provides certainty.
The debate between low-carb and a calorie deficit is a false choice. A calorie deficit is the law of fat loss; a low-carb diet is just one optional tactic to follow that law. Stop worrying about demonizing certain foods and start focusing on your total daily calories and protein. That is the path that actually works and gives you the freedom to build a diet you can stick with for life.
All content and media on Mofilo is created and published for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis, or treatment. Always seek the advice of your physician or other qualified health provider with any questions you may have regarding a medical condition, including but not limited to eating disorders, nutritional deficiencies, injuries, or any other health concerns. If you think you may have a medical emergency or are experiencing symptoms of any health condition, call your doctor or emergency services immediately.